The Black Swans Have Yet To Come Home To Roost . . .
By Tom Foremski - December 8, 2008
The current economic crisis has yet to make itself felt in all of its fury. One of the most sensible commentators is Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a former "quant" on Wall Street. I've been recomending his book "The Black Swan" for more than a year.
Here is a very recent interview with the author on Charlie Rose, note: it is not for the faint of heart!
One piece of silver lining is that Mr Taleb recommends a portfolio balance in safe cash/bonds and only 10 to 20 per cent in high risk investments because the "medium risk investments" have hidden risks. That could be good for venture funds. Somebody should start a Black Swan Fund.
Here is Mr Taleb's web site: http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/
"My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the courage to sometimes say: I don’t know...." (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).
Here is Mr Taleb getting angry about bankers and economists. "The crisis might not even have started yet..."
Great interview with Mr Taleb.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: the prophet of boom and doom - Times Online
« No Men Allowed: Girls In Tech Expands To New York, LA, And Beyond | Main | Shrinking Mass Media Masses At Googleplex »
December 8, 2008 | Permalink | Comment | Category: | Subscribe to SVW
- Top Stories:
- Technology In The Service Of Humanity
- The Death Of The Search Algorithm? Techmeme Has Six Editors
- TEDxSF - Little TED Just Like The Big TED
- SNCR Research: Social Media IS Influencing Business Decisions
- What's Next? Beyond Real-Time...
- PearlTrees: A Novel Approach To Human Mapping Of The Internet
- MediaWatch Analysis Part II: Google Has More To Lose Than Murdoch
- MediaWatch Analysis: Murdoch Will Negotiate Payment For Access To Basket Of Content With GOOG et al
- WeekendWatcher: The Sheer Number Of Things Will Devalue Them
- ChipWatch - Where Will The Next Generation Of Engineers Come From?
- Public Healthcare Could Cut Startup Costs And Help Spur Innovation
- Is GOOG's $750m AdMob Buy Strategic Or Dumb? An alternate view...