Tech Watch: Silicon Valley's greatest success is failure...
By Tom Foremski - September 25, 2004
....and copious amounts of failure.
What can be learned from failure in improving the process of commercializing innovation?
This was one of the questions posed to panel members at an SRI International event I was moderating. The event was organised by Alison Murdock, president of the IDB Network.
The question about the role of failure deserves more attention, because I'm convinced that it goes to the root of Silicon Valley’s success. And it points to a fundamental quality that Silicon Valley possesses, and one that is rarely mentioned:
Silicon Valley is extremely good at failure.
In fact, it is extremely good at producing massive amounts of failure.
Curt Carlson, director of SRI, one of the largest research organisations in the US, pointed out that as few as one in 20 Silicon Valley startups succeed. And even then, they are unlikely to make it to their 13th birthday—the average lifespan of an S&P 500 corporation is 12.5 years.
With the pace of change accelerating in many industries and markets, Mr Carlson argues that we have to accelerate the process of successful innovation in order to keep up. But how?
SRI believes it has figured out part of the answer...
From years of studying successful innovation, SRI has developed a week long training course for its researchers and clients. And it seems to be working, judging by the increase in successful research projects coming out of SRI over the past two years. The course is so effective in raising productivity that Mr. Carlson has asked that every employee of SRI, not just researchers, take the course.
I wrote a column on this subject recently for the Financial Times.
The SRI training is no guarantee of success in commercializing innovation. But it will help to kill an unviable project.
Or as Dave Blakely from the research organization IDEO, puts it, “We have to get better at failing early and make our mistakes earlier.”
Another question asked was if there was a way to document what goes wrong in early venture companies and create some sort of central database of what not to do.
Lee Burrows, vice president at VC firm VantagePoint Venture Partners said, “We perform our own post-mortems but it is impossible to collect all the information and document it, because people would not publicly reveal a lot of key mistakes that were made. Or name names.”
Nand Mulchandani, CEO of Determina, said, “What does happen is that new ventures are formed that have teams of people that have worked together in the past. That way, you can try to aggregate the experience of failure in the hope that people have learned from past mistakes.”
It reminded me of a recent conversation with Mike Sheridan, a partner at Mohr Davidow Ventures, “You get back into the trenches with the people that were in the foxhole with you the last time.”
The panel couldn’t provide easy answers to how best commercialize innovation. All of them said recruitment of good people is key. And finding people who can work as a team is essential. Easier said than done.
Other interesting points from the panel:
Norman Winarsky, vice president at SRI International.
--Make sure you are talking with potential customers as much as possible, as often as possible. There are too many examples of ventures emerging after 18 months and finding that their target market has moved on and has no use for their product.
--Don’t invent a technology and then go looking for a market.
--We have seen a lot more success when researchers are involved with customers as early as possible in the development process.
David Blakey, IDEO.
--I’ve seen so many companies not bother using simple prototyping tools to create a mock-up of their product, or not use graphics tools to see what the user interface might be like. These simple procedures would have shown up problems early in the development process.
--You cannot innovate by sitting in a conference room. You have to get out of the room and onto the road.
--The most successful companies we’ve found have a strong, heartfelt connection with the customer.
Nand Mulchandani, CEO, Determina.
--It’s all about team building. Cultural integration is a big part of my job, integrating new people into the team.
--When you start up a company, you round up the usual suspects, people you know because trust is very important. Then as you grow, you create extended networks of trusted people.
Laurie Yoler, chief development officer, Intellectual Ventures:
--I don’t think it is possible to have a cookie-cutter approach to innovation. Although there is a cookie cutter approach in terms of getting funding, in terms of presenting that information.
--Researchers can have a difficult time transitioning into a startup venture because they were interested in solving a problem rather than being involved in marketing and business development.
Lee Burrows, VantagePoint Venture Partners:--You need people with different sets of skills at different points in the life of a venture. We’ve often seen that a startup CEO might not be the best person to lead the company after a couple of years. There has to be a willingness to step aside and learn, so that in a future venture, that person has those skills.
--Revenues are the only measure of success that we look at.
Interesting comments from conversations after the panel:
Clay Bullwinkel, of Bullwinkel Consulting--Poland is becoming an interesting place for outsourcing these days. Costs of outsourcing work to India are rising as wages are increasing, and there is a lot of staff turnover. Poland is being increasingly being recognized as a viable alternative.
Gregory Ruff, G.L. Ruff & Company:-Silicon Valley is too incestuous, we spend way too much time listening to ourselves and sucking up our own exhaust. There is a lot of innovation happening in other parts of the world.
Juan-Antonio Carballo, IBM Venture Group:
--We are keeping a very close eye on Silicon Valley because we need to know who to work with, who to partner with. We are in the solutions business, so we need to know what is out there that we can use.
By Tom Foremski - September 25, 2004 | Permalink
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Comments
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I LOVE Tripit!
Tom Foremski on Advanced Micro Devices Spins Off Chip Plants as a Foundry Joint Venture
Doubtful: Historically AMD has had yield problems and Hector Ruiz did a great job in improving production. Either way, being in the fab business is challenging enough and AMD's ATI knows the fabless business model very well. Best to stick to designs than running fabs, IMHO. But Intel could put a stop to that.
I think Intel should be a bit lenient with AMD, it's good to have competition. But Intel has a take no prisoners attitude when it comes to competitors.
Luca on UPDATE: Intel Challenge to AMD Fab Spin Off
I am 99% sure it's 2. Usually IP licensing agreements are very specific about the identity of the licensee and what is allowed. I bet AMD can't do this without Intel's approval, which will come at a very steep price...
debbie rich on When the Cloud Precipitates...Potential Problems with Online Services (and Stikipad)
Debbie here. Just to clarify, the software company that I help manage, Digital Anarchy, is the entity that lost all of its historical data. Over 1.5 years of press tracking, product revision info, vendor relationships. I brought this situation to Tom's attention because it is larger than just my company's issues. Former Stikipad customers (and folks who are confused if they ARE still customers) have found my complaints about Stikipad on my completely unadvertised personal blog and commented a
doubtful on Advanced Micro Devices Spins Off Chip Plants as a Foundry Joint Venture
Where are your getting the info on AMD low Yields?
from your sponsor Intel?
you could have said bug designs, but this happened equally to Intel!
why don't you mention that with this JV,
The intel only advantage: fab financing
is removed !
(I put monopolistic position aside waiting for multi world judgements on those practices.)
you should also mention that AMD process dev cost is shared with other major IC manufacturers like IBM Toshiba, STM, Frees
Shannon Whitley on When the Cloud Precipitates...Potential Problems with Online Services (and Stikipad)
Great topic, Tom.
Cloud Computing brings many benefits, but there will be additional risks as well. As more companies build their businesses in the cloud and utilize services (such as storage) from the likes of Amazon, Google, or Microsoft, an outage with any one company could bring down several hundred others. We should pushback and consider these risks.
As you mentioned, this pushback is healthy. We are moving forward with the technical details, but we also need to focus
mavennyc821 on The Largest Risk in Silicon Valley is Taking No Risk - Why the Economic Downturn Will Spawn Hundreds of Startups
Great post Tom, adn agree. Here's similar sentiment today on CNET:http://news.cnet.com/8301-13953_3-10060141-80.html?tag=inside
Kevin Cimring on Steve Ballmer Warns Financial Crisis Will Impact Tech Sector
Hi Tom,
It's become widely recognised and reported now that the financial crisis is and will continue to impact the tech sector. In order to survive, new start-ups will need to define revenue models upfront and will no longer be able to rely on the old "web 2.0" approach of first launching and only then worrying about revenue strategies at a later stage. For those types of companies, VC funding will be scarce.
Kevin Cimring on The "Experiential Gap" . . . and the Growing Cosmos of Twitter Applications
Hi Tom,
I enjoyed your "Experiential" piece on Twitter, as this has been my exact experience. Initially I couldn't see what all the hype was about, but I succumbed to the wave of growing publicity and gave Twitter a try. Even then, I was a little circumspect but several weeks later and I am benefitting from Twitter immensely, in various ways. I have tried to explain Twitter to my colleagues, but they still look at me as if I'm crazy - like you say, you have to be "in it" to understand
Sabrina Horn on Thought Leader Interview: - Sabrina Horn Says "Sell Like Hell!"
Thanks Tom, it was a rare opportunity to have the time to talk and ponder so many important topics. We look forward to hosting you at our place, for an under the hood look at PR at Horn Group.
Sabrina
Tom Foremski on Silicon Valley Heads for Germany as Governor Schwarzenegger Pushes for Cebit Trade Show Alliance
Thanks Florian, I did look up Rampenfest, it's pretty funny!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2uZZzHfgOk
Florian on Silicon Valley Heads for Germany as Governor Schwarzenegger Pushes for Cebit Trade Show Alliance
Thanks Tom for this article.
I watched the video and laughed about the German accents. They reminded me of a video called rampenfest (google it :))
Cheers and greetings from Germany,
Florian
Bravia on Worth Watching: Silicon Valley Turns Out for Steve Ballmer at Churchill Club
Thanks for that video. It was great.
Matt on Worth Watching: Silicon Valley Turns Out for Steve Ballmer at Churchill Club
good stuff, thanks Tom.
Tim Cohn on GOOG Founders Could Buy All US Newspapers and Still Have $12bn
Maybe the SEC should ban shorting them along with the Yellow Pages too.
adrian Chan on The "Experiential Gap" . . . and the Growing Cosmos of Twitter Applications
Tom,
Sounds like it might be a case of "design to the rescue!" I've been expecting that one of the next waves of innovation will come in the form of design solutions to information/data problems. Visualizations, aggregation but with more compelling visual presentation layer (and thus better or at least more interesting interactions!).
The title of your piece had me thinking that the service finds doppelgangers -- twins of interest and like mind. Are they approaching that one
Tom Foremski on Silicon Valley Rocks! Charity Event for Local Schools
Yes, we should be doing a lot more for our schools. Silicon Valley area schools should be shining showcases not basket cases. Get your tickets now!
Tom Foremski on Chris Anderson's PR Blacklist Backlash - The Long Tail of Bad PR
Branko: As as journalist for nearly 25 years I got used to the fact that not all PR people know what they are doing. And the fact that I get hundreds of pitches per day and many of them are of no use to me--is just part of the job. I screen them out without a second glance. I don't know why some journalists like Chris, get their underwear in a twist because someone pitched them an inappropriate pitch...
Andrew Pass on Silicon Valley Rocks! Charity Event for Local Schools
It's great to see people doing good for children and schools!!
Branko Collin on Chris Anderson's PR Blacklist Backlash - The Long Tail of Bad PR
"My view is that part of the problem [...]"
You mentioned earlier that there's a lot of money in PR. If that's true, then the real problem is that PR has become too successful. Which is why I don't understand these hissyfits you people throw here and at Anderson's blog. Is that part of the game of Harass the Journalist? Having some extra fun by pretending not to understand Anderson?
As for the new rift between journalists and flacks, ten years ago us journalists couldn'