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November 9, 2009

Why Haven't Silicon Valley VCs Done Better? Historic Opportunities Abound

Returns for VC funds have been bad for several years. But why?

Georges Van Hoegaerden has put together a very compelling list of reasons why VCs should be generating much better returns.

In his post Why do we keep listening to VC as the barometer of innovation? he writes:

- Technology has moved from hardware, to software, to software services with immediate market recognition and impact, allowing for simple business models and reduced risk with regard to customer adoption.

-The Internet with its ever increasing penetration provides a boundless addressable market for technology that a successful proposition can tap into at almost no additional expense.

- Until this year (thankfully LPs are now waking up) there have been truckloads of support from Limited Partners to the Venture sector, allowing VCs to pick their preferred fund size and implement their ideal diversification strategy.

- We produce more highly skilled local students and have access to a much larger petri-dish of (global) entrepreneurs than every before, that should account for a much larger supply of disruptive ideas and development resources.

- The penetration of applications to vertical markets (healthcare, oil and gas, real estate, etc.) remains pretty much untapped, leaving low hanging fruit investment opportunities unserved.

- The deployment of macro-economic principles with the application of technology to drive more efficient marketplaces remains untapped, leaving winner-takes-all investment opportunities unserved.

Excellent points. So why have many VC funds floundered?

Mr Van Hoegaerden believes it's because many VCs do not have the operating experience to manage investments, and that many VCs have been practicing a "micro" private equity approach to investments.

I keep hearing about a shakeup in the VC industry. I'm waiting to see what it looks like.


Best And Worst Times Of The Year To Raise VC Money

Timing your startups' capital raising periods can be very important because a lot of VCs conform to a fairly predictable schedule.

Mark Suster offers a handy guide:

I encourage entrepreneurs who are raising money to focus on the following time periods to START your process:

- January 6 - May 15th (green zone)
- May 16th - June 30th (yellow zone)
- July 1st - September 7th (red zone)
- September 8th - October 15th (green zone)
- October 16th - October 31st (yellow zone)
- November 1st - January 7th (red zone)

He points out that this is a US guide, in Europe the VC season stretches well into November (no Thanksgiving.)

Another useful fact: Full partner meetings are on a Monday.

Last chance this season to get your money is for a full partner meeting scheduled for Monday November 23. If you don't have one you'll have to wait until next year.

Mark Suster offers a 6-step relationship guide to VC.



November 8, 2009

Zynga Credibility Evaporating - What's The Effect On Its Super Star VC Investors?

Zynga, one of the largest virtual goods and gaming companies, promised it would stop running scam ads after Mike Arrington at Techcrunch called it out, amongst others, last Sunday. Then Zynga did it again.

On Saturday Mike Arrington noticed the ads were back, but he had to use someone else's computer because the ads weren't showing on his connection.

Deliberate blocking?

Mark Pincus, CEO of Zynga says no, it was "offer provider, doubleding, told us this was the result of their failure to remove an optimization queue which was still showing these ads to 10% of pageviews. i want to be clear that zynga had no control over the pages being shown and never filtered them from michael or anyone's view. "

You would think that this week of all weeks Mr Pincus would use a belt and braces to make sure no scam ads filtered through unnoticed.

It didn't take Mike Arrington long to find the ads so how come Zynga didn't see them?

Dean Takahashi at VentureBeat noted:

Shukla, who was replaced as CEO last week at Offerpal, told us in an interview that her tools allow publishers to review every single offer in the system and remove those that the publisher doesn’t think are proper. Super Rewards also has the same kind of offer removal feature. But those systems evidently haven’t been implemented...

Zynga's credibility is fast evaporating. It's quickly accumulating an unpleasant reputation; especially since Techcrunch posted a video of CEO Mark Pincus admitting "I Did Every Horrible Thing In The Book Just To Get Revenues".

There are 230,000 Google references to Zynga plus "scam" out of 1.44m just for Zynga. That's 1 in 6 references .

How will this effect Zynga's A-list investors? There must be considerable concern about being in the public eye.

It's a top tier A-list take a look:

Bing Gordon
Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers

Fred Wilson
Union Square Ventures

Reid Hoffman
Chairman, LinkedIn

Peter Thiel

Managing Partner Clarium Capital

Bob Pittman and Andy Russell

The Pilot Group

Brad Feld
Foundry Group

Sandy Miller
Institutional Venture Partners

Rich Levandov
Avalon Ventures

Maybe we can hear from some of them this week.

For example, New York city's top VC, Fred Wilson has a very popular blog A VC - Musings of a VC in NYC.

But like the New York Times' recent failure to notice the scandal in the world of virtual goods, Mr Wilson's blog hasn't noticed it yet either.

It's a great story. You'd think the East Coast media would be all over this story of a Silicon Valley bubble fueled by scams...

- - -

Please see: NYTimes Article On Virtual Goods Misses Huge Controversy


October 13, 2009

Venture Capital Avoids Government Regulation - But Challenges Remain

Silicon Valley venture capital firms will be pleased that "Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank has rejected a Treasury plan to subject venture capital firms to "systemic risk" regulation."

The Wall Street Journal reports that VCs haven't gotten away scot-free.

While Mr. Frank and colleague Paul Kanjorski (D., Pa.) plan to exempt VCs from the most onerous regulation, their draft directs the Securities and Exchange Commission to define appropriate reporting requirements for such firms.

Venture Capital Firms Allowed to Live - WSJ.com

This was one of the complaints in my recent interview with Bob Ackerman, founder of Allegis Capital. (VCWatch: Code Red In Silicon Valley Says Bob Ackerman - Government Killing Innovation)

However, Silicon Valley's VC industry still faces several considerable challenges. The amount of seed funding has greatly diminished and several large firms haven't been able to raise new funds.

The lack of seed funding could hurt the region in a few years time because it will limit the number of viable startups.


September 17, 2009

Pedal To The Metal: Is It Time For A New Sequoia Presentation?

Rarely has a Powerpoint presentation deck had as much destructive power as the one prepared by Eric Upin, partner at Sequoia Capital.

"R.I.P. Good Times" was presented about a year ago in a mandatory meeting of all the CEOs backed by Sequoia. Mike Moritz and Doug Leone laid down the line: slash jobs and expenses now - the fallout from the financial crisis could last for years. [GigaOm:Sequoia Rings the Alarm Bell: Silicon Valley Is in Trouble]

The presentation was leaked and circulated wildly with nearly half-a-million views.

Silicon Valley VCs might like to think of themselves as svelte wolf packs sniffing out the best investment opportunities, but they more often act like herd animals all running in the same direction -- especially when spooked.

The RIP presentation had a huge multiplier effect. Thousands of startups cut jobs and slashed spending. Outside services, especially PR firms, were hurt badly as companies cancelled or cut their retainers to the bone.

Now we are beginning to see some green shoots of a recovery. There has been some very welcome M&A activity and at very generous valuations.

Recent acquisitions in the hi-tech field include the purchase of Mint.com by Intuit for $170m (£102m), Adobe buying Omniture for $1.8bn (£1.08bn), the sale of Skype to a private equity syndicate for $2bn (£1.2bn) and the purchase of SpringSource by VMware for $420m (£254m).
BBC NEWS | Technology | Silicon Valley 'seeing revival'

All we need now is the IPO market to spark up and Silicon Valley will roar back to life.

But why wait? Surely it is better to have all your ducks in a row now. This is a great time to invest in people and services to make sure your startups are well positioned and well known.

Surely now is the time for another Sequoia presentation: "Pedal to the Metal." You can bet they won't be leaking that one.

- - -

Please see:

RIP: Sequoia Capital's hedge fund? | VentureBeat

Sequoia Capital partner Eric Upin has left the storied Silicon Valley venture capital firm to work at investment management firm Makena Capital Management, according to Forbes.

You're Fired, Er, No You're Not - Layoffs - Gawker

Sequoia Capital, the backer of Apple, Yahoo, and Google, ordered its startups to slash their payrolls this fall. We hear one CEO fired people so enthusiastically he had to retract some of his pink slips.


September 9, 2009

GOOG's Kai-Fu Lee Becomes China's Archangel Investor

Last week I got a chance to speak with the former head of Google China, Kai-Fu Lee about why he left the search giant and what he will be doing. Mr Lee joined Google in 2005 from Microsoft, to become president of Google China. His mission was to increase Google's reach in China against the domestic competitor Baidu.

Microsoft tried to stop Google from hiring Mr Lee but Google won the legal tug of war. At the time, Mr Lee wrote: "I need to follow my heart." [Kai Fu Lee: I need to follow my heart ZDNet.com]

Similarly, leaving Google, Mr Lee told me that he needed to follow his heart and take on a role where he can create a tremendous amount of value.

He is setting up an investment fund, Innovation Works that will make very early investments in Chinese startups. The fund will also provide the young companies with back-office support and other services so that the entrepreneurs can concentrate on developing technologies and services. The size of the fund is initially set at $115 million.

Here are some notes from our conversation:

- There is a large amount of capital in China waiting in the wings ready to invest in later stage financing for startups. But there is very little seed or angel investments.

- My goal is to provide those angel investments, and to quickly get companies up and running. Within 9 to 12 months those companies can attract later stage investments.

- The angel community in China is very different. It is very inexperienced and it often has ridiculous expectations. For instance, angels will sometimes insist on being repaid their money if a startup fails, trying to say it was a loan when the investment documents show otherwise.

- Angel investors are a very rare breed, they are self-selected, they have to learn how to do what they do and to network. I hope to be able to train others and to create a community of angel investors.

- There is a tremendous amount of enthusiasm and talent among Chinese entrepreneurs.

- Silicon Valley has managed to create a culture of openness to ideas and also to capital. In that way, ideas and capital can often find each other. China does not yet have this type of culture.

- There is some advantages to companies that are Chinese. This is especially true in the area of media such as search and social networks. These can be ideological areas and often require a license. We will be making investments in these areas as well as other sectors.

- Chinese startups are generally a lot more humble and understated and that can help.

- I will also be investing my own money.

- I'm not sure if Chinese entrepreneurs or developers from Silicon Valley will be drawn back to China because of this venture. If they are, there will be less need for my help.

- The timing is right for my move.

- Because of my roles at Microsoft and Google people trust me. I hope to become a matchmaker for talented entrepreneurs and capital.


August 31, 2009

Funding Innovation: Silicon Valley Still Tops As New York City VCs Will Tell You

Silicon Alley Insider has an interesting post: New York VCs Spend 90% Of Their Money Out Of Town.

The article quotes ChubbyBrain, a site that tracks VC investments, which found "Only 10% of NYC Area Venture Capitalist Investment Has Gone to NYC Startups."

That's about $1.8 billion in the second quarter of 2009 going into investments outside of NYC, the majority to Silicon Valley based companies.

It's no wonder that Silicon Valley continues to attract companies because this is where investments are made. This is despite an often repeated mantra that: "innovation can be carried out anywhere."

It is true that innovation can be carried out anywhere, but innovation in Silicon Valley gets funded. As New York City VCs might say it: mantra shmantra.


August 24, 2009

Finally - Standard Legal Docs For Startups . . . But Where's The Funding?

Mike Arrington at Techcrunch has a great post on standard legal docs for startups that can save them as much as $50k in legal fees when taking investment monies. The Funded Publishes Ideal First Round Term Sheet.

The legal docs were prepared on the behalf of Andeo Ressi, founder of The Funded, a site that ranks VCs. They are designed to protect founders from some of the predatory terms used by VCs.

Continue reading "Finally - Standard Legal Docs For Startups . . . But Where's The Funding?" »

August 11, 2009

The Naked Silicon Valley Emperor And The Blameless VCs

Georges van HoegaerdenGeorges van Hoegaerden, a serial entrepreneur, writes that "The Silicon Valley emperor has no clothes."

...Silicon Valley has become the emperor who wears no clothes. Many Venture Capitalists (VCs) like the emperor will hold their head high and continue their procession for the sake of protecting their management fees.

...the simple fact remains that very little disruptive innovation is born. And without disruptive innovation (and the risks that such innovation incurs) it is just a matter of time before the Limited Partners (LPs) recognize that the emperor's procession is coming to an end.

Mr Hoegaerden says that the fault is with the VCs -- many don't have the entrepreneurial experience to do their job. And they will always look to blame others and never themselves.

He writes that "innovation is not the problem," the problem is ineffective VCs

Continue reading "The Naked Silicon Valley Emperor And The Blameless VCs" »

August 7, 2009

VCWatch: Code Red In Silicon Valley Says Bob Ackerman - Government Killing Innovation

BobAckerman.jpgI just spoke with Bob Ackerman, founder of Allegis Capital, and he is very concerned about innovation in Silicon Valley, primarily because of the cumulative impact of US government actions and regulations.

Here are some notes from our conversation:

- I'm very worried about the seed corn, that we won't have that next crop of innovative companies five, ten years in the future.

- Innovation is in trouble because of restrictions on H1B visas; unfavorable tax policies regarding stock options; the failure to change Sarbanes-Oxley in regards to startups which increases costs; and the government investing billions of dollars picking winners and losers, such as the bailout of the automakers. It's all building into a crescendo that harms innovation.

- I'm afraid that Washington doesn't understand venture capital and what we do. The Treasury department wants to regulate VC firms in the same way as hedge funds and private equity. This is wrong. VC firms use no leverage, while hedge funds and private equity leverage funds at huge ratios and look for short term gains. VC firms should not be regulated in the same way, it will hurt the smaller VC firms which are the most productive. This is a cottage industry.

Continue reading "VCWatch: Code Red In Silicon Valley Says Bob Ackerman - Government Killing Innovation" »

July 24, 2009

Silver Lake Says It's a Risk Taker And Looking For "Misunderstood" Companies

Forbes reports on "What private equity investors want."

DavidRoux.jpg
Beth Kowitt writes that David Roux, co-founder and co-chief executive at Silver Lake said that the firm has more than $9 billion to invest. He's looking for companies that have:

- predictable business model.

- scalable business model.

- a misunderstood business model "therefore undervalued by the marketplace."

Basically, he's looking for a company with a solid business model with recurring revenue and a low valuation. That sounds like a low risk set of features, yet he sees Silver Lake as a risk taker.

"We're at a point in the cycle where we feel like we're being paid to take risks."

But he wants to moderate the risk by making sure valuations are low.

While companies would like to keep their valuations from July 2007, Roux said that a term of art in the industry now applies: "the valuations have begun to season."

He doesn't sound like a risk taker to me. And with $9 billion to invest, he won't be investing in startups.

July 23, 2009

Conjoin Plans To Invest As Much As $200m In Restoring Lustre To Lacklustre Ventures

RichardGarnickCEOCojoin.jpg

Richard Garnick is from Boston but he likes to pepper his language with Hindi phrases that describe his aggressive mantra for transforming poor performing businesses.

He's Chairman and and CEO of Conjoin Group, a newly formed company that plans to invest as much as $200 million over the coming year in transforming five to ten mid-sized companies.

And the Hindi phrases are because of his background as the top North American executive for the giant Indian IT outsourcing firm Wipro Technologies, and from time spent establishing offshore operations in India.

Despite the poor economy he sees lots of opportunities.

"There are a lot of solid businesses that were funded in the 2001 to 2006 period but never managed to reach 'escape velocity' and scale up. Now, their owners are tired of their stagnant performance but have been unable to change the business. That's where we come in."

Mr Garnick will take an ownership interest and spend as much as $20 million restructuring the company.

He's looking for businesses with solid recurring annual revenues in the $50 million plus range. His team will come in and analyze every aspect of the business and implement changes to reflect best business practices. Anything that can be digitized, and that is part of a repeatable business process, is outsourced to India.

Why can't businesses do this themselves?

"Many have leadership that doesn't know or understand what can be done in terms of outsourcing. And there are many political obstacles towards change within companies. We bring in our own leadership, we align ourselves with the goals of the owners, and we implement best practices that can reduce operational costs by at least 50 per cent, and as much as 75 per cent."

Also, mid-sized businesses don't have the capital to bring in a McKinsey team to do the analysis, which can run to $10m or more. Conjoin has its own practice, staffed with ex-McKinsey people, to perform this work at less than half the cost.

Here are some further notes from our conversation:

Continue reading "Conjoin Plans To Invest As Much As $200m In Restoring Lustre To Lacklustre Ventures" »

June 28, 2009

Vinod Khosla: How To Succeed In Silicon Valley By Bumbling And Failing...

Vinod Khosla is one of Silicon Valley's most successful VCs. I was at the recent SDForum Visionary Awards where Mr Khosla was one of four winners of the 2009 awards.

His acceptance speech was short and very good. Excellent advice for entrepreneurs.

Also, he talks about failure, which I have long advocated is Silicon Valley's strength.

A couple of years ago I met with a delegation of Russian diplomats, VCs, and government officials. They were visiting Silicon Valley and wanted to meet with me as part of their tour. They were looking for ways to create several Silicon Valley-like regions in Russia.

During our meeting, I told them I would tell them the secret of Silicon Valley. I paused. They all leaned in a little closer...

Continue reading "Vinod Khosla: How To Succeed In Silicon Valley By Bumbling And Failing..." »

June 16, 2009

A Message To VC's LPs: We're Just At The Beginning Of The Tech Build-Out . . .

[Guest post from Georges van Hoegaerden, an accomplished entrepreneur, CEO and venture catalyst "turned conservationist of the technology asset class." His articles also appear at http://venturecompany.com. Here are extracts from a longer essay: How LPs should deal with VC. ]

By Georges van Hoegaerden

Georges van HoegaerdenThe technology sector which is my passion for the last 30-years is at the beginning, not the end of its emergence. Perhaps the top-level indicator of the innovative runway we have ahead of us is the following: more than 5/6 of the world's population does not yet use a computer connected to high-speed/broadband internet today. And all should and will, given the right technology.

That's where technology innovation comes in; not just in connecting people to the internet but in deploying innovation that uses the internet as a distribution mechanism. The way we use the internet today is rudimentary, and many new technology stacks will emerge to improve its impact on everyday citizens.

Continue reading "A Message To VC's LPs: We're Just At The Beginning Of The Tech Build-Out . . ." »

Do Be Do - Slave Girl's Mid- Year Performance Review . . .

On Sand Hill Slave, Slave Girl gets her mid-year performance review . . .

In my case, partners always catch me for the review when I’m in the middle of something that has my complete and undivided attention.

Partner: I have time for that review now.

SlaveGirl: Okay, can you give me a few minutes? I’m wrapping something up...

Partner: Well, I’ve only got a few minutes-

Sensing his tone, I immediately close out my YouTube window and scamper into his office.

Continues . . .

Sand Hill Slave: Even Though I Walk Through the Valley in the Shadow of Tech, I will fear no VC...

June 9, 2009

Investing In Innovation? All The VCs Are Looking For New Fees Rather Than New Startups

juergen-popp.jpg I recently caught up with Jurgen Popp, one of the top European angel investors. He was in town attending a VC conference and also tending to some of his US investments, including the rapidly growing Smart Health Buyer -- a US version of a very successful German startup.

From his perch in Zurich, Switzerland, Mr Popp gets to mix in European and US VC circles. And because he is an angel investor, he is often able to say things that others can't. Here are some notes from our meeting:

- I recently attended a large VC conference in San Francisco. The VCs all seemed interested in what types of new fees they could charge their investors rather than looking for new startup ideas.

- There were about five angel investors at the VC conference and it was easy to spot each other because we were the only ones asking questions about business rather than about fees. We all ended up sitting at the same table.

- The US VCs love to portray themselves as risk takers but they are not. It's the entrepreneurs that take the risks.

- There is very little VC activity in Europe right now, it seems to have virtually disappeared.

- There's a lot of activity among VC firms selling and buying portfolios, but a lot are being sold at 15% to 25% on the dollar.

- The way some of the US VCs behave they are killing innovation. They will join together to drive down valuations and take as much equity as they can from the founders.

- There are a lot of companies waiting in the wings to IPO. But I wonder if it is worth it for some of them. If they raise $50m on a $200m valuation much of that money will go in fees to bankers and lawyers.

- I believe there will be a rebound in VC investing in 2010 because by that time there will have been a rebound in stock markets -- maybe a doubling of where we stand today. That will free up money to be invested in startups.

- I'm already seeing a bit more activity. More people are calling, and there is a lot more interest in investing in small companies. That will grow over the next few months.

June 4, 2009

More Bad News For VCs: Sand Hill Slave Is Back!!!

I'm so happy. My favorite bitch goddess, Sand Hill Slave is back!!!

Continue reading "More Bad News For VCs: Sand Hill Slave Is Back!!!" »

May 27, 2009

7 Great Reasons Not To Take VC Money

[Guest column by Greg Gianforte, CEO of RightNow Technologies and a serial entrepreneur.]

By Greg Gianforte

Raising venture capital for early stage start-ups seems to be the prevailing path for most entrepreneurs; however, most would-be founders should reconsider.

Here are some reasons why:

- If you start by selling your concept to potential prospects (rather than stock to VCs), you will either end up with initial customers or a conviction that your idea won't work. Why raise money and then find out which one it will be?

- Raising money takes time away from understanding your market and potential customers. Often more time than it would take to just go sell something to a customer. Let your customers fund your business through product orders.

- Adding VCs to the mix early gives you an additional set of masters you must serve in addition to your customers. It is always hard to serve two masters, especially in a startup.

- With no money you can't make a fatal mistake. This is a blessing. Without VC money, you are forced to figure out how to extract funds from your customers for value you deliver. Ultimately that is the only thing that really matters.

- Money removes spending discipline. If you have the money you will spend it - whether you have figured out your business model and market or not.

-Raising VC money determines your exit strategy. You will either sell the business or take it public. What if you end up with a very profitable, modest sized business that you want to just run? That is no longer an option once you raise VC money.

- You sell your precious equity very dearly before you have a proven business model. This is the worst time to raise money from a valuation perspective. I know this is a contrarian view. And some of you are saying that might be fine for a small company.

Don't forget Dell, HP, Microsoft all originally started without VC funding; you can build a big business with bootstrapping and without VC money. At RightNow, we doubled our revenue and employees every 90 days for two years before we took any outside money, and even then the employees retained more than 75% ownership after raising $32m.

- - -

[I see a lot of companies that are seeking VC money, or have VC money but need more, as if that would make their business viable. VC money isn't always smart money and it isn't always the smartest thing to do. I republish Greg's column at least once a year because it contains lots of common sense.]

Greg Gianforte is the author of: Eight to Great: Eight Steps to Delivering an Exceptional Customer Experience

His previous book is: "Bootstrapping Your Business: Start and Grow a Successful Company With Almost No Money."

If you would like to contribute a quest column please let me know: Tom(at)Foremski.com.

May 19, 2009

Plan To Fix VC Industry Promotes Role Of VC Over Entrepreneur

[Guest post from Georges van Hoegaerden, an accomplished entrepreneur, CEO and venture catalyst "turned conservationist of the technology asset class." His articles appear at http://venturecompany.com.]

The auto company's plan to fixing VC

By Georges van Hoegaerden

georgesvanhoegaerden.jpgThe National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) has released its recovery plan (4-pillar plan) to fix Venture Capital that is eerily similar to that of the auto companies. It focuses on the prolongation of (their) life rather than on the quality of its product; the ability to spawn meaningful innovation.

Now I am sure Dixon Doll, from his perch atop a $1.6B Venture firm, means well but his purview is severely limited by his role as chairman as one of the most closely held investment clubs in the nation. Its members, ninety-something percent of the U.S. VCs are simply not incented to present all options for improvement, and certainly not one that would include self-cannibalization.

Nothing in this plan covers the stimulus and meritocracy required to spawn and monetize disruptive innovation. The plan mentions entrepreneurs, as the real value creator in this equation - in passing - only once (slide 11) amongst its thirty slides. The plan seems to forget that the entrepreneur is the real value creator, not the VC.

Continue reading "Plan To Fix VC Industry Promotes Role Of VC Over Entrepreneur" »

May 11, 2009

Only Idiot CEOs Pursue VC Investments

[Guest post from Georges van Hoegaerden, an accomplished entrepreneur, CEO and venture catalyst "turned conservationist of the technology asset class." His articles appear at http://venturecompany.com.]

Idiot CEOs

By Georges van Hoegaerden

georgesvanhoegaerden.jpgThat's how one of the many CEOs that contact me recently described his colleagues who submit to Venture Capital (VC).

This alternatively funded CEO describes other CEO's that seek VC funding as idiots -- with a 1 in a 1000 shot at a lousy valuation (52% Round A, 25% Round B and 15% Round C). He continues that many of the serial entrepreneurs trumpeted by VC's have no money themselves despite "successful" previous exits.

He is not alone about the ineffectiveness of Venture Capital, I frequently hear from other successful entrepreneurs about it. And the situation may get worse before it gets better. The economy is offering VCs even more excuses to turn the screws, and control of companies is gained in more ways than a simple equity stake.

I believe technology investing today is largely a sub-prime asset class as described in a plethora of sub-prime articles in this blog, and find many entrepreneurs discouraged by both the process as well as the outcome of fundraising, even when that yielded a round.

Because of the ineffectiveness of VC and the rampant false positives and false negatives I refuse to believe VCs (and the NVCA collectively), who suggest that the sum of Venture Capital equals the sum of technology innovation. We see great entrepreneurs actively pursuing more creative investment vehicles (high-net-worth individuals, private equity firms, investment bankers, sovereign funds...anyone with money), and rightfully so.

In the meantime, oblivious to recognizing their own flaws, VCs are further descending down the sub-prime spiral by restricting investments to compliant entrepreneurs, evidence that they remain clueless about the fundamental risk management of high yield returns.

Smart CEOs should simply refuse to work with many technology investors for the following reasons:

Continue reading "Only Idiot CEOs Pursue VC Investments" »

April 15, 2009

VCs Need To Get Back To Roots Says Allegis' Ackerman

VC firms are keeping their powder dry these days and that means very few new ideas are being funded. Bob Ackerman from Allegis Capital was recently on CBS 5 speaking with KPIX reporter Sue Kwon.

A few key points from the interview (thanks to Steve Kaufman):

- Stiff U.S. regulations and tax policy is slamming Silicon Valley VCs. “It’s killing the goose that laid the golden egg,” he said. The evidence is not merely the decline in U.S. fund-raising but the concurrent increase in VC funding offshore – a record $8 billion was invested in Indian and Chinese startups last year. Many of startups that corralled the money were started by entrepreneurs who were educated in America and then worked for U.S. technology companies before returning home. “They are returning to their roots, and the capital is following them,” Ackerman said, adding that this trend is delivering body blows to the traditional wellspring of U.S. technological innovation.

- Even though some of the greatest technology companies, such as Cisco, were created during economic downturns, local VCs have become exceedingly risk-adverse. Ackerman says 75-80 percent of VCs have stopped investing in new startups. Instead, they’re focused on mitigating failures among startups they have already backed and are investing fresh capital only in those they deem most promising. They’re missing the boat because it’s almost impossible to determine which startups will ultimately succeed. One Ackerman-backed startup, IronPort Systems, founded in the middle of the dot.com bust in 2001, was acquired by Cisco in 2001 for $830 million.

- VCs have been spoiled by evolutionary industry trends. This decade, as VC funds grew bigger and bigger, VCs became more hands-off and less hands-on, paying insufficient attention to most of the entrepreneurs they backed. VCs need to return to their roots and work much more closely with entrepreneurs, sharing their successes, failures and experiences to improve the overall possibility of success.

- If these trends are not soon reversed, Silicon Valley will completely lose its waning reputation as the world’s greatest technology innovation center, initially created by the convergence of great universities, a disproportionately large number of local VCs, a strong entrepreneurial culture and the lack of stigma in failure. All this explains why the Valley, at least until recently, consistently attracted so many bright Indian, Chinese, Russian, British and French engineers as the technology haven for the best and brightest. As noted above, this long-standing trend is now in serious jeopardy.

Here's the interview:

http://cbs5.com/video/?id=48599@kpix.dayport.com

January 17, 2009

IT VC Investments Plunge In Q4 To Lowest Level Since 1998

Investments in the IT industry fell to their lowest level since 1998, a 39 per cent drop compared with the year ago period. Overall, US venture capital investments fell 30 per cent, compared with the year ago period, to their lowest level since 2005 reports Dow Jones Venture Source.

"The data confirms what we've being hearing anecdotally for some time that many venture capital firms are circling the wagons to weather the downturn and are focusing more on the health and vitality of current portfolio companies rather than new investments," said Jessica Canning, director of Global Research for Dow Jones VentureSource.

Healthcare also fared badly, dropping 42 per cent from a year ago.

The bright spot was energy investments which more than doubled from the 2007 Q4.

Here are the 2008 Q4 details:

Deals: 554

Investment: $5.5 billion down 30 per cent from 2007 Q4

Total 2008

Deals: 2,550

Total 2008 investment: $28.8 billion down 8 per cent from 2007

Here are the sector details:

Continue reading "IT VC Investments Plunge In Q4 To Lowest Level Since 1998" »

January 16, 2009

Advice On Raising Capital

Scott "Dig" Scheper is an analyst at a venture capital firm in Orange County. He recently put together this short presentation on lessons in venture capital. He has some excellent advice for startups such as don't wait in the car park to pitch again!

Lessons in Venture Capital 2008

December 9, 2008

The State Of VC Funding In Southern California

I wasn't able to attend the recent Under the Radar Dealmaker LA Roundtable on the VC Outlook 2009 but TechZulu was there. Here are some video segments from the conference:

Jason Nazaar, Founder, DocStoc (Moderator)

David Travers, Associate Rustic Canyon Ventures
Brian Garrett, Managing Director, Cross Cut Ventures
Jim Armstrong, Managing Director, Clearstone Venture Partners
Mark Suster, Partner, GRP Partners

August 12, 2008

7 Reasons Startups Should Not Take VC Funding - Advice from a Serial Entrepreneur

This is a guest column written for Silicon Valley Watcher by Greg Gianforte, CEO of RightNow Technologies and a serial entrepreneur:

Raising venture capital for early stage start-ups seems to be the prevailing path for most entrepreneurs; however, most would-be founders should reconsider.

Here are some reasons why:

-If you start by selling your concept to potential prospects (rather than stock to VCs), you will either end up with initial customers or a conviction that your idea won't work. Why raise money and then find out which one it will be?

-Raising money takes time away from understanding your market and potential customers. Often more time than it would take to just go sell something to a customer. Let your customers fund your business through product orders.

-Adding VCs to the mix early gives you an additional set of masters you must serve in addition to your customers. It is always hard to serve two masters, especially in a startup.

-With no money you can't make a fatal mistake. This is a blessing. Without VC money, you are forced to figure out how to extract funds from your customers for value you deliver. Ultimately that is the only thing that really matters.

-Money removes spending discipline. If you have the money you will spend it - whether you have figured out your business model and market or not. -Raising VC money determines your exit strategy. You will either sell the business or take it public. What if you end up with a very profitable, modest sized business that you want to just run? That is no longer an option once you raise VC money.

-You sell your precious equity very dearly before you have a proven business model. This is the worst time to raise money from a valuation perspective. I know this is a contrarian view. And some of you are saying that might be fine for a small company.

Don't forget Dell, HP, Microsoft all originally started without VC funding; you can build a big business with bootstrapping and without VC money. At RightNow, we doubled our revenue and employees every 90 days for two years before we took any outside money, and even then the employees retained more than 75% ownership after raising $32m.

- - -

Foremski's Take:

I see a lot of companies that are seeking VC money, or have VC money but need more, as if that would make their business viable. VC money isn't always smart money and it isn't always the smartest thing to do. Greg's column needs to be republished from time to time because it remains relevant.

Greg Gianforte is the author of a new book:Eight to Great: Eight Steps to Delivering an Exceptional Customer Experience

His previous book is: "Bootstrapping Your Business: Start and Grow a Successful Company With Almost No Money."

If you would like to contribute a quest column please let me know: tom(at)SiliconValleyWatcher.com.

May 12, 2008

The Joke Of An $800m "StartUp" VC Fund

Sramana Mitra rightly takes to task Lightspeed Venture's new $800m fund supposedly focused on early stage investments in IT and cleantech.

With that much money you'd have to make a couple of hundred early stage investments which is clearly not possible. The VCs wouldn't have enough time to find, make, and nurture such investments.

Sramana Mitra:

There is only one reason for raising these humongous funds: Raw greed for larger and larger Management Fees.

It's not the first time Sramana Mitra has taken on VC firms in boasts that they finance early stage startups.

Here’s an excerpt from one of NEA’s press releases: “Practicing classic venture capital for over 25 years, NEA focuses on early stage investments, playing an active role in assisting management to build companies of lasting value. With $6 billion under management, NEA’s experienced management team has invested in over 500 companies, of which more than 150 have gone public and more than 200 have been acquired."

NEA is a great firm, indeed one of the classical institutions of the industry. Precisely why they should be slightly embarrassed to utter “early stage” and “$6 Billion under management” in the same breath!

I agree. It's the angel investors who take the risks and invest and nurture Silicon Valley startups. It is angel investor networks such as TiE and Silicom Ventures that do the real heavy lifting around here.

BTW TiE's excellent annual conference is coming up May 16 -17 in Santa Clara. Don't miss it!

April 28, 2008

Incremental Is Not Innovative: Where Is The Next Big Thing?

Excellent article by Jeff Nolan, an ex-VC, writing in SandHill.com on venture capital investments and locating the next big thing.

Incrementalism and "The New New Thing" - With all the venture capital moving around in the Silicon Valley, where is the real innovation?

He makes many good points especially that there is a lot of money flowing into companies that only offer incremental improvements over what is already available.

The situation may leave the technology industry in another downward spiral if none of the "incremental" ventures hit it big and no other genuine innovation appears soon.

Incremental innovation just won't cut it. In my opinion innovation has to be disruptive otherwise it won't succeed, because there is little incentive to change.

I certainly agree with the Web 2-point yawn factor:

In my opinion, the worst thing that happened in these last couple of years is that damn versioning of what is a simply the broader continuum of the evolving Web. Define Web 2.0… just try it and you will see the futility.

I totally agree with Mr Nolan on this point:

I am waiting for venture investors to once again discover that there is money to be made in enterprise software.

But what is next?

As I survey the landscape of consumer- and business- focused software and service providers I am struck by how much incrementalism there is at the moment. Something like Twitter is ground breaking in terms of breakout adoption, but what about the other 10,000 startups? There are few bold "aha" ideas, lot's of social "-this or -that", and mostly a bunch of companies hoping to draft on the perceived success of a few gorillas. . .

. . .The venture capital will no doubt continue to flow to these companies in the hopes that a few will rise to the top and get acquired. With the melt down in non-VC private equity I am sure that institutional investors will surge back into VC with abandon and this will prop up the Valley for the foreseeable future.

But I'm still left with the uncomfortable question of "What’s next?" When Facebook doesn’t deliver world peace, and FriendFeed fails to be better than sliced bread, what will we do?

SandHill.com | Opinion : Incrementalism and "The New New Thing"

I know when the next new thing will emerge...

It will emerge from this coming recession. The next new/big thing has always emerged from the bust cycles in Silicon Valley.

This last one produced a two-way communications technology platform based on RSS (a blogging platform) that led to the flood of collaboration apps known as Web 2.0. The next big thing will emerge from the same roots. Because it is during a recession that we have time to think about and invest in the next generation of innovation. Intel (an SVW sponsor) makes its investments in chip fabs during the bust cycle in the chip industry, then when the boom cycle comes it is ready to crank out tens of millions of chips.

If we are going to go into a recession the silver lining is that there will be gold at the end of the rainbow (mashup metaphor #34 :-)

April 7, 2008

Angels Are The Real VCs...

Sramana Mitra makes a great point about venture capitalists and angel investors. She notes that huge VC funds continue to be raised. This means VCs can't do as much mentoring and guiding to help startups, they have to make large investments to justify their funds (and more importantly, their management fees.)

She cites figures for 2007 that show:

Angels invested $26 billion in 57,120 companies.

VCs invested $29 billion in 3,813 companies.

What I find disconcerting is that some of the best early stage venture firms are basically putting themselves in a situation whereby they cannot do early stage anymore!

From: Sramana Mitra on Strategy.

What happens to Silicon Valley startups if the angel investors can't do the job as well as they used to because of their exposure to numerous financial crises that abound?

This is what seems to be happening, as I found out last week: Out & About: Entrepreneurs Talking About Recession- Are Angel Investors In Trouble?

The loss of the angel investors is potentially a big problem because Silicon Valley VC firms have outsourced much of the seed investing to the angels. The angel investors are a more important generator of the next wave of startups now than ever before, this could hurt Silicon Valley.

January 22, 2008

Top European VC Firm Raises More Than Half Billion Dollars To Prop Up Late Stage Euro Startups

As US acquisitions of European startups grow more costly due to falling US dollar, Swiss-based Index Ventures Tuesday announced it has created the first European fund to invest in mature, late stage, European startups. The fund raised 400m euros, or about $576m at today's exchange rate.

The goal of the fund is to invest between 20m euros and 50m euros, in mostly European companies, which are at a stage where they are considering being acquired.

"In many of these cases, investing additional capital and time in the business will result in a much greater long-term payoff and allow the entrepreneur to continue growing his or her company into a market leader," said Dominique Vidal.

MySQL, which Sun Microsystems last week agreed to acquire for $1bn, is one of the firms' portfolio companies. It was also an investor in Skype, which was sold to Ebay for $2.6bn. Index has invested in 100 European and US startups.

Betfair, and FON are among other hot investments in its portfolio.

But a falling US dollar and a devaluation of Ebay's Skype investment has created a poor acquisition market for European tech and life sciences companies, which are often sold to US corporations.

Index was founded in Geneva in 1996.The latest fund will be managed by "Index co-founder Giuseppe Zocco; Dominique Vidal, previously CEO of Yahoo! Europe; and Guido Magni, formerly the Global Head of Medical Science at F. Hoffman-La Roche."

Index Ventures - News

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November 5, 2007

Turning Oil Into Innovation: Russian Delegation Seeks Silicon Valley's Lessons

Monday I met with a Russian delegation that is part of an ambitious Russian government program investing billions of dollars in creating several Silicon Valley type innovation regions across Russia. This includes passing new laws, deregulation of controls over some types of investments, and possibly even creating a stock market for its high tech sector.

The group is here to build connections with Silicon Valley and to learn from some of its best and worst practices. There is a two-day conference on Thursday and Friday: Silicon Valley Open Doors 2007.

Silicon Valley's secret is . . .

The delegation was eager to hear about my views on SIlicon Valley. They leaned forward when I said I would tell them Silicon Valley's most important secret--and then I stopped. They laughed, and then I told them the secret, knowing that it can't be torn away from this region: Failure.

Silicon Valley tolerates, and funds, massive amounts of failure. Only about one out of twenty startups succeed.

Probably no other culture allows people to fail as many times as Silicon Valley. Inside every succesful Silicon Valley entrepreneur is a failed entrepreneur.

I know plenty of successful people but they failed many times. Other countries and regions don't tolerate failure on such a scale, you rarely get a second or third chance let alone 23 chances, as one entrepreneur I met recently claimed.

Cloning

"We don't want to build a clone of Silicon Valley, we know that wouldn't work. But we believe we can learn how to avoid some of Silicon Valley's problems and eliminate its bottlenecks," said Yuri Ammosov, a senior policy officer in the Russian Ministry of Economic Development and Trade.

Mr Ammosov is also a serial entrepreneur, he was very successful with a Russian version of Hotmail. Because of that experience he was chosen to advise the Russian government on technology policy, and he also teaches business studies and entrepreneurism to Russian graduates.

Creating Russian Venture Capital Funds

A key part of his job is in helping to channel more than $1.25bn of government money into establishing several large venture capital funds along with capital from wealthy individuals and Russian financial institutions. This initiative was created earlier this year as the Russian Venture Company (RVC).

RVC invests in each VC fund up to 49 per cent, with the rest of the capital raised from private and non-public sources. Each RVC affiliated venture fund agrees to invest 80 per cent of its capital in early stage startups.

Along with Mr Ammosov, I met Yan Ryazantsev, a senior investment director in RVC, Nikolay Dmitriev, consultant with RVC (also introduced as Mr Ammosov's brightest student), and Anna Dvornikova, who is based in San Francisco and is a director of the American Business Association of Russian Professionals.

Culture of innovation and change

Mr Ammosov acknowledges that there are many cultural, infrastructure, and legal changes that need to be made in Russia, and it will take time. For example, he tries to teach his students to take risks in establishing a startup, risk taking is essential for an entrepreneur.

The Russian government is also willing to pass laws that will help stimulate investment, an equivalent Regulation D - Rules Governing the Limited Offer and Sale of Securities Without Registration, which was very important in stimulating US investments in high tech companies.

SOX - no thanks

Sarbanes-Oxley, however is not something that the Russians want to copy, they see it as one of the problems to avoid. Yes, transparency is important for Russian companies but not the way SOX has been implemented, and the burden it imposes on young companies.

The Russian government is also creating stronger IP laws and training its courts on how to implement them. "Stronger IP laws are important to help protect Russian companies," said Mr Ammosov.

There are also plans to establish tax-free economic zones, and a willingness to pump further billions of roubles into making sure Russia's innovation centers rival those of China, India, Israel, and the US.

To achieve those goals, RVC has a very impressive board of directors, which includes Yigal Erlich, who helped establish Israel's "Silicon Wadi" second in size only to Silicon Valley; and also Esko Aho, former prime minister of Finland, who brings with him some of the "Nokia" pixie dust.

Exit here

Venture capital is important but so is an exit event, so that the cycle of investment and development can regenerate investment capital. And that is why the Russian government is studying markets such as NASDAQ and AIM with an interest in possibly establishing a market to trade Russian high-tech companies.

- - -

Find out more about Russian innovators this week:

Come to the Computer History Museum this Thursday and Friday for a two-day conference "Silicon Valley Open Doors 2007." (SVOD.org)

Here is the agenda.

And here is an impressive list of speakers.

And here is SVOD's anthem:

"Another Riskmaster"

Lyrics by Silicon Valley's own Tim Draper(!) [I have no idea what the tune is, obviously something stirring, I can imagine something between Red Army chior and Welsh chior.]

Hey! You want to start a business?

Russia seems to show some promise

While weighing all your choices

“Go to Moscow!” you hear voices


Google founder came from Russia

Parametric? - Not from Prussia!

Genesis and PayPal too

SVOD and what is new?


With luck you’ll become a

Master!

From Soviet biology

Comes really cool technology

Software immunology

From Nukes we get ecology


Ukraine’s Orange Revolution

Good for all-freedom solution

And then political pollution

Now it’s all in execution


Chorus:

With luck you’ll become a

riskMaster!

All you need is a faster chip

A million rubles

A couple of engineers


riskMaster!

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