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February 1, 2005

Google ready to buy up content?

by Richard Koman for SiliconValleyWatcher.com

Google yesterday posted a job listing for a strategic partner development manager on craigslist. Of interest is this line: "This high-visibility role requires someone who will be responsible for identifying, structuring and negotiating licensing relationships with some of Google’s largest and most strategic partners to acquire and monetize a wide range of video and audio content."

By Richard Koman - February 1, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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February 2, 2005

Google's stunning results

Google reported stunning financial results yesterday, with profits of 71 cents per share, far in excess of analysts' expectations of 54 cents per share, and seven times their results of a year ago. The Washington Post reported that Google will roll out significant upgrades to the service in 2005.

"I'm very excited about how Google will look to the end user in six to 12 months, lots of new and interesting ways," CEO Eric Schmidt told analysts.

In the conference call with analysts, Larry Page made it clear that it's all about advertising. Google even certified ad execs in how to use search and how to track sales from Google ads, Page said.

Growth internationally looks especially bright, Google execs said.

Link

By Richard Koman - February 2, 2005 | Permalink | Search Watch
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February 4, 2005

GuruNet Skyrocketing

By Richard Koman for SiliconValleyWatcher.com

GuruNet, the Israeli company behind Answers.com, bolted more than six points in trading today to 22.98. The stock price ended last week at 12.50, so it has almost doubled this week. What did Guru announce this week to make investors swoon so hard? Nothing. Here's the Motley Fool's take:

Investors would be wise to go back to the IPO prospectus and read through the risks this company faces. One significant one is that of IPO funding. While it is adequate for the next 12 months, the company is going to be producing operating losses. More funding, and probably share dilution, is coming. Oh, and the company has more debt than cash. Yikes.

The company's content is licensed from year to year. That's hardly comforting when it is the content, as well as the search, that counts.

Why is GuruNet soaring? Investors may be looking at Google's $55.6 billion market capitalization and thinking that GuruNet's Lilliputian $93 million capitalization leaves a lot of room for growth. Maybe, but Answers.com has just been released, and its future, and the company's too, are far from certain.

Link: Is Answers.com the Next Google?


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By Richard Koman - February 4, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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February 5, 2005

Clickrisk.com identifies denial of keyword attack from China

Via the Register:

Click fraud consultants Clickrisk.com found one of their clients click-through rates suddenly dropped to zero. Turns out out they were the victims of "keyword hijacking" -- automated searches that cause a company's ads to be displayed like crazy. Here's how it works:

By running searches against particular keywords from compromised hosts, attackers can cause click-through percentage rates to fall through the floor.

This, in turn, causes Google Adwords to automatically disable the affected campaign keywords and prevent ads from being displayed. By disabling campaign keywords using the technique, cybercrimals could give their preferred parties higher ad positions at reduced costs, according to click fraud prevention specialists Clickrisk."

Link: Botnets strangle Google Adwords campaigns | The Register

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By Richard Koman - February 5, 2005 | Permalink | Search Watch
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March 7, 2005

Confirmation: Yahoo is testing a Google Adsense competitor

By Richard Koman for SiliconValleyWatcher.com

SiliconValleyWatcher has confirmed that Yahoo, through its advertising network Overture, is testing "YPN" a competitor to Google Adsense--the hugely profitable advertising network.

The confirmation came from a highly informed source at Yahoo. And it follows the recent discovery of strange ads on the blog of Yahoo program manager Ken Rudman.

In his blog, Andy Baio drew attention to the fact that Rudman’s blog was running text ads that were called from a "ypn.overture.com" server.

While the YPN acronym is set, what it stands for is still up in the air. Andy Baio suggested Yahoo! Publisher Network but we like Yahoo! Profit Network. Any other ideas out there? Email rkoman (at) gmail.com or use our Anonymous Tip box to the right.

By Richard Koman - March 7, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post |
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March 16, 2005

Yahoo 360, Yahoo's blog, photo and social networking play

Flickr.gifWhen Flickr CEO Stewart Butterfield took the stage at Tuesday he joked he had an important announcement to make about rumors that the photo-sharing company would be acquired: "The next person to ask me about it gets punched," he said, displaying a slide of a cartoon POW!

As previously reported here, Yahoo! is about to acquire Flickr, the popular photo sharing community web site. It now seems likely that the announcement will be made March 29, along with the official invitation-only beta launch of Yahoo 360, which Yahoo announced this morning after press reports revealed the project's existence.

By Richard Koman - March 16, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Yahoo [YHOO]
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March 17, 2005

The purity of search results challenges Google and offers an opening to rivals

by Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

LabScientist.jpgThe purity of search results, free from commercial influence, is likely the only way a new search engine company can challenge Google and win over its users.

That's because Google is struggling to purify its search results in the face of a large industry that actively tries to manipulate its searches for commercial gain, so that a client website link appears on the highly-desired first page of Google’s keyword search results.

By Tom Foremski - March 17, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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The purity of search results challenges Google and offers an opening to rivals

by Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

LabScientist.jpgThe purity of search results, free from commercial influence, is likely the only way a new search engine company can challenge Google and win over its users.

That's because Google is struggling to purify its search results in the face of a large industry that actively tries to manipulate its searches for commercial gain, so that a client website link appears on the highly-desired first page of Google’s keyword search results.

By Tom Foremski - March 17, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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March 18, 2005

Friday Watch: Despite howls from the deathbed, SEO's days really are numbered; SVW fans out to cover the geek cons; more ...

by Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

We had another scorcher of a week on the Watcher with coverage of two competing geek conferences. Nick Aster hit the ground running in Austin with this report on the SXSWi conference. And in San Diego, Richard Koman produced a veritable bit torrent of great copy from the O’Reilly Emerging Tech conference.

While folks like Odeo's Evan Williams made the SF-Austin-SF-San Diego circuit, the two cons neatly bifurcate geekspace. SXSW is the hipster and chickster web/UI/interaction design space, while ETech boasts a interesting mix of alpha geeks, A-list press (not counting SVW ;)), and unbuttoned biz types. One borg victim (black-clad, earpiece installed in head) paced the hallway near the pressroom yelling into his cell, "You would not believe the movers that are at this conference." And of course it was true.

One alphageek was heard to say, "This is the conference for business people who want to feel like they're at a hacker conference." But at $1250 a pop, all the geeks had speaking gigs and free passes.

By Tom Foremski - March 18, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post |
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Continue reading "Friday Watch: Despite howls from the deathbed, SEO's days really are numbered; SVW fans out to cover the geek cons; more ..." »

April 13, 2005

Searching for riches through short text message searches

By Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

CellPhone-Search.jpgGoogle this week announced a cell phone based search service using short text messaging, also known as SMS. UpSnap, privately held, is also in this space, offers a free directory assistance (411) mobile SMS service, and says that Google's entry has helped to validate the SMS market, but that only UpSnap! has a working business model.

Tony Philipp, chief executive of UpSnap, said that SMS is growing fast, especially among the 18- to 30-year-old demographic. He also points out that UpSnap has a business model already in place, in which merchants pay for listings and use a free phone call feature, based on UpSnap's VOIP infrastructure, to talk with customers.

By Tom Foremski - April 13, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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April 15, 2005

As Become.com leaves beta, Michael Yang speaks up on their spam-proof algorithms

By Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

becomeLogo.gifThe Become.com shopping search site has come out of beta and has gone beyond 10,000 registered users. No registration is now required to use the site. Company cofounder Michael Yang recently clarified for me some of the anti-spam measures that Become.com has in place around its AIR (Affinity Index Ranking) technology, which is a different approach than Google’s PageRank method.

While it is true that AIR technology is superior to Google's PageRank for preventing spammed pages from showing up on the search result (and in theory it is spam-proof) we can not completely eliminate spams 100% in implementation. Also on the issue of patents for anticipated spam techniques … our patent lawyer recommended that we do [file] but we have not filed yet because we have not identified any spam techniques that would work against AIR.
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By Richard Koman - April 15, 2005 | Permalink | Search Watch
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July 26, 2005

A visit to Yahoo and the human touch

. . . bloggers are big in Japan

By Tom Foremski for SiliconValleyWatcher

GoogleVsYahoo_redux.jpgI popped down to Yahoo on Monday and Linda Kozlowski (great name btw :-) from Text 100 introduced me to Christine Castro, chief comms officer and snr VP at Yahoo, and some of her comms team, Mary Osako, senior director, and Linda Du, who manages international PR.

Yahoo is a lot different now from my first experience with the company. That was when Yahoo was located in a small building in Palo Alto that had clearly seen better days. I interviewed co-founder Jerry Yang as we sat on old plastic chairs and the Yahoo server sat in an adjoining room.

Now Yahoo has a thoroughly modern campus that is overflowing with hordes of attractive twenty to thirtysomethings. There are cute cafes and eating places throughout the campus, and the distinctive purple and yellow Yahoo colors are seen in the flower beds, and in the Memphis style furniture inside the building.

The visit to Yahoo was an opportunity for me to continue an exploration of the different approaches taken by Yahoo and Google. The two companies have similar roots and similar products, but there is a big difference in their approach to business.

Google is a media company yet it is run by engineers from head to toe, there is not a single media professional in its top echelons.

Contrast that with Yahoo, which has seasoned media professionals in nearly all of its senior ranks. Terry Semel, ex-Warner Bros, John Marcom, ex-Financial Times US, and Christine Castro, ex-Disney, to name just three.

My question about Google has been: can engineers build a media company?

By Tom Foremski - July 26, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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October 31, 2005

Will search become less important? The future of the online bot armies . . .

By Tom Foremski, Silicon Valley Watcher.com

My recent post on Battling the online bot armies of the search engine giants and startups brought out some interesting discussions.

Over on the VeriSign Infrablog, Michael Graves, 'techno-evangelist' wrote:

.

. .there are problems with crawling. Over time, the number of crawlers grows. There used to be just a handful that got broad coverage, now there’s a dozen or more. In the future, there may be a hundred or more. At some point, Tom Foremski’s argument will become undisputable, and crawlers will have to be managed much more carefully than they are now through the use of Robots.txt or some other means.

Michael goes on to propose full content pings as a solution to the crawler problem:

For example, if this post were submitted in full as part of the ping, Googlebot and the gang wouldn’t need to come fetch this post to analyze it for inclusion in their databases and indices. It would be available from the ping server directly. Search engines could maintain a high-bandwidth, always-on connection to the ping server, and have the full content of newly published articles in hand, without having to do any fetching at all from the origin server.

Full post: I, Robot

Veteran media entrepreneur Mitch Ratcliffe, at Ratcliffeblog notes:

What I see happening is what happens with any medium as it matures—people will stop looking for new content as much as they do at first and start settling into relationships with trusted sources. This conforms to the conclusion Tom Foremski arrived at, but I believe search will play a bigger role in the Web (hell, let's call it "Web 2.0" to separate it from the first decade's worth of Web) because so many more sources are introducing new content.

Long term, though, we're going to see the value of relationships, which are largely built on content. If, to reach the people I want to have relationships with I need to allocate a lot of bandwidth, I'm happy to do it.


Full post: Search engines add value, but that value is diminishing

And Niki Scevak over at Bronte Media checks my math: You Say Toe-mato I say Tomar-to

By Tom Foremski - October 31, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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November 23, 2005

Healthline: The search for pharma online gold

. . .drug makers seeking drug takers

By Tom Foremski, Silicon Valley Watcher

http://www.healthline.com/

Googling for healthcare info can make you sick, says Healthline's CEO West Shell. What he means is that you get millions of pages and you don't know which ones to pick. That's where he hopes Healthline, a recently launched beta health care search engine, can help.

It uses doctors, rather than just servers, to help create a dictionary that translates medical terms into common words, and doctors rank the quality of the medical information the search engine links to.

Healthline also offers "health maps" that graphically represent information, such as treatment and symptoms, that's linked to a specific condition. And it has quite a few other ways to slide through--and understand--a lot of important medical information.

"These days, the patient has to educate themselves about treatment options because the doctor patient load has increased tremendously. And doctors love to have an educated patient that understands their condition," says Mr Shell.

By Tom Foremski - November 23, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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December 6, 2005

The latest content versus index wars: European publishers slam the Oodles of Googles

By Tom Foremski, Silicon Valley Watcher

Man-Vs-machine.jpgIt's the latest round in the battle between content creators versus the index creators. Human versus machine-produced content.

"By HELENA SPONGENBERG, Associated Press Writer
BRUSSELS, Belgium - European publishers warned Tuesday that they cannot keep allowing Internet search engines such as Google Inc. to make money from their content.

"The new models of Google and others reverse the traditional permission-based copyright model of content trading that we have built up over the years," said Francisco Pinto Balsemao, the head of the European Publishers Council, in prepared remarks for a speech at a Brussels conference."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051206/ap_on_hi_te/europe_internet

Google, Yahoo and the Oodles of this world will shrug and say, that's fine, we'll stop indexing you and I guess you don't want all the traffic we send you.

But maybe the traffic isn't that great? The traffic that news sites get from search engines isn't high quality traffic. It is the web surfer, happy-go-lucky, a click here, and one there, then gone.

News is not consumed through a search box. You cannot search for news because you wouldn't know what to search for. It's new. That's why there are products such as Google News, so you can see what is news.

But advertising on news pages is not very efficient. Conversions are the highest on search pages.

So, if Google and others publish headlines and extracts of news content on their pages, it takes away traffic because that is all the content most people need for news. Fewer visitors means it makes it more difficult for the news organizations to pay their journalists--and that must affect the quality of journalism.

Let's also mention the devastating effect Google et al are having on newspaper/ news sites and their classified ads and small business advertising.

This is a double whammy against the professional media sector, imho.

By Tom Foremski - December 6, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Media Watch
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December 12, 2005

New rules: The reverse ten-bagger is the model for success

Tom Foremski, Silicon Valley Watcher

Ten-Bagger.jpgThere's no doubt about it, Google's patina of goodwill is dissolving. I'm hearing a fair amount of anti-GOOG chatter all over the place.

Personally, I still like Google. I still feel that I get a whole lot more out of Google than Google gets out of me as an internet user.

In many ways, Google exemplifies what I call one of the new rules of the new economy.

Old Rule: Success is the ten-bagger company--returning to its VCs/investors more than ten times their investment.

New Rule: Success is the reverse ten-bagger--the company that monetizes ten per cent or less of the business opportunities it has.

Otherwise it is not providing enough value to its customers and it will be considered as trying to fleece its users.

By Tom Foremski - December 12, 2005 | Permalink | Comment on this post | New Rules
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February 28, 2006

Click fraud could be a $1bn racket--Fair Isaac study

Here is an excellent story on the subject of click fraud from the consistently good CIO Today magazine.

Click Fraud Gets Smarter

http://www.cio-today.com/story.xhtml?story_id=41828

Does Google and the others have the technology to filter out click fraud? Greg Boser is going to put that to the test:

Web consultant Greg Boser has an ingenious method for sending loads of traffic to clients' Internet sites. Last month he began using a software program known as a clickbot to create the impression that users from around the world were visiting sites by way of ads strategically placed alongside Google search results. The trouble is, all the clicks are fake. And because Google charges advertisers on a per-click basis, the extra traffic could mean sky-high bills for Boser's clients.

But Boser's no fraudster. He cleared the procedure with clients beforehand and plans to reimburse any resulting charges. What's he up to? Boser wants to get to the bottom of a blight that's creating growing concern for online advertisers and threatens to wreak havoc across the Internet: click fraud.

The article makes a good case for the need for an independent third party to monitor this problem.

By Tom Foremski - February 28, 2006 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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June 1, 2006

Vivisimo: the search engine company from Pittsburgh

I recently met with Raul Valdes-Perez, the CEO and co-founder of search engine company Vivisimo. It is not a well known company but it is one that is doing very well, and doing it very profitably--all without any venture capital money.

I first met Mr Valdes-Perez nearly two years ago. At the time, this Pittsburgh, PA based company was ready to take on Google and the others with its unique technology that can index information into subject groups or clusters, by automatically detecting the underlying taxonomy within a set of information, on-the-fly.

Founded in June 20002 by Carnegie Mellon University researchers, Vivisimo offered an new approach to search. I became intrigued by the promises of Vivisimo's technology. I wondered if it could be used in other ways too; if it might reveal emerging social trends before they become visible in traditional ways.

And the clustering approach always seemed much more useful for researching various topics. For example, by seeing the various groupings of a term, i.e.. "bond" which could be James Bond, or a chemical bond, or a family bond--you could find unexpected, serendipitous connections to a term without requiring serendipity to reveal them.

I would sometimes fantasize about using Vivisimo's technology for local search sites. I own the domain names SearchSiliconValley.com and SearchBayArea.com, and the same "searchxyz.com" format for the San Francisco Bay Area counties and towns. Vivisimo's spider is not designed to crawl the entire web, but it is very good at crawling thousands of web sites, perfect for specialized applications, such as indexing a specific region. Clustering the results would be a great way to quickly find all the local Mexican restaurants, or public libraries, and many other uses.

One of these days I might get to try out Vivisimo's technology for such an application, but in the meantime the company has been doing very well in the enterprise search market, especially in government applications. Earlier this year it won a prestigious contract, following stiff competition, to provide the search technology for FirstGov.gov, the official portal for the US government.

Search results are from government web sites and also from related web sites outside of the government, and Vivisimo has been winning considerable praise for a much improved search experience.

I was glad to hear that Vivisimo was doing well. And Mr Valdes-Perez was kind enough to remind me of some advice I gave him a while ago, when Vivisimo was launching Clusty.com, the consumer version of its technology, and dreaming of taking on and winning against Google and the others.

The advice I gave was that the noise level in the consumer search space would soon become very intense and would require massive amounts of money to stay visible. For a small company such as Vivisimo, it would not be a game it could play without having to raise considerable capital. For Vivisimo, the opportunities would be in more specialized approaches where it could offer unique advantages, and fly under the radar while the big companies battled for the prized consumer markets.

And that's what the company has been doing. Apart from its FirstGov and other government related business, it is also doing well in the Life Sciences arena, where finding clusters of information is exceedingly important. And there are other such opportunities in other industries.

Clusty.com did not usurp Google, but it is a very good business for Vivisimo. "Clusty gave us experience in creating simple user interfaces. Too often, our competitors in the enterprise search space pay very little attention to the user interface, which makes their products difficult to use." says Mr Valdes-Perez.

Specialized search applications such as the FirstGov contract require specialized approaches unique to each implementation. FirstGov for example, requires at least 58 boolean terms for each search query. And the algorithm has to distinguish between different parts of the web page--not all dot-gov web pages are created or formatted in the same way.

The Google, Yahoo, Microsoft approach to search is far more general than the tuned, specialized approach taken by Vivisimo. And that means the search giants won't find it that easy to expand into the enterprise search markets.

Mr Valdes-Perez is also a critic of the behavioral technologies that the large search engine companies use to try and improve the search experience by collecting personal data. Clusty.com does not collect any user data which means that there can be no privacy breaches, accidental or subpoenaed.

"Users search based on their whims at the time, and not on past behavior. It is much better to provide a user with several options on what they are searching for and allow them to choose," he says.

That certainly makes sense to me. I hardly ever run the same search twice (except for ego surfing :-) so why collect my personalized search data?

By Tom Foremski - June 1, 2006 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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June 13, 2006

Baynote - community driven enterprise search

baynote_logo.gifBaynote came out of stealth mode today with a software as a service product it calls "content guidance." It helps users find what they want on web sites with thousands of documents by studying the behavior of prior visitors.

Type in a search term and up pops a selection of relevant documents that are "useranked" according to how others found what they wanted.

"Our technology works as a silent observer and we can tell by a user's behavior if they found what they were looking for. When you consider the fact that studies show only 17 per cent of web site visitors find what they were looking for, that means you are wasting 83 per cent of your money spent on online marketing campaigns to drive users to your site," says Jack Jia, CEO of Baynote.

Typically, it can take six clicks to find relevant content and today's visitors are increasingly less patient and more likely to give up. Mr Jia claims Baynote's technology provides a 20 times increase in users finding the content they want, usually in just one click.

Mr Jia is a former CTO of Interwoven, so he has a good understanding of web site design and content plus his team makes use of the latest discoveries in artificial intelligence. The Baynote technology tracks 12 key behavioral characteristics displayed by web site visitors in order to determine whether they found what they wanted or left frustrated.

The service also offers a variety of usage reports and is available for $995 per month for large businesses and $95 per month for small businesses.

SVW's take: The price seems a bit steep for small businesses but for large web sites serving many different types of user groups, Baynote potentially provides a way to avoid leaving lots of frustrated visitors.

The service is also a good way to test web site designs to make sure the most popular content is easily accessible and where to tweak navigational elements.

One problem is that search on large web sites is notoriously bad because you can't apply the traditional page rank methods to determine the importance of a specific web page or document. And so people's bad experiences with site search on large corporate sites means that they will often avoid the search box and thus might skip the little icon that signifies Baynote's search technology is being used.

Baynote does offer other ways of connecting users with relevant content by clever use of AJAX and mouse-over techniques that popup pages in a Browster-like way without requiring users to commit to a click. The background loading of pages into cache however, will skew resident analytical software. But Baynote provides an analytics component as part of the service, which provides detailed usage reports.

Interestingly, Baynote does not use its technology on its own web site - there is no search box!!!!

By Tom Foremski - June 13, 2006 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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October 10, 2006

Smalltown and GrayBoxx: Two approaches to local search and two approaches to tapping the Yellow Pages gold mine

Local search and local online commerce are the next battlegrounds for the giants such as Google and Yahoo, but also for many startup companies. The lure is the billions of dollars spent on Yellow Pages advertising by local businesses.

We have Yahoo Local and Google Local, plus Max Levchin's Yelp, CitySearch, Ingenio, plus local newspapers and other companies--all trying to grab a piece of the local search and local commerce ad spend.

But tapping into the local businesses market through online services is hard. The same factors that make scaling a global online service easy on the Internet become reversed when applied to local businesses.

For example, a local pizza parlor gets nearly all its business from within two miles of where it operates. Reaching China or even a neighborhood five miles away is something the Internet does well for many companies. But it doesn't make much sense for a local pizza parlour, and the same is true for most local businesses--they all nned to reach customers in their neighborhoods.

I recently spoke with two startups, Smalltown and Grayboxx, with two different approaches.

Smalltown targets neighborhoods and small communities

I was very impressed with Smalltown's approach to local search because of the elegant design and simplicity of the site. Simplicity is not easy to do but it is extremely vital in the online space.

Last week I spoke with Smalltown CEO Hal Rucker. "To succeed in local markets we belive that you have to be local," said Mr Rucker. "So we've created 'webcards' which are a type of virtual index cards with their own web address that can be created by anyone local, by a business or an individual."

An example of a webcard:
webcards.png

Webcards can be attached to each other, and also sent to people. They provide an easy to use template that allows busy, small business owners to create a web page about their business without having to have a website.

And the process is simple enough that any customer of a local business can create a webcard that acts as a recommendation, or a warning, by filling in text and adding photos.

"With webcards we are helping to build what we call the 'local web.' And it creates 'social advertising,'" said Mr Rucker.

The roll out of Smalltown will be town by town. The first two are San Mateo and Burlingame, in the heart of Silicon Valley.

If they can get the formula right, then they can reproduce it in other small towns and city neighborhoods.

Each Smalltown would have a local person/agent to help evangelize the service and also aid local businesses and people to produce webcards. Smalltown is =offering cash bounties to people of $5 per five webcards, a smart way to create a large inventory of webcards, which creates a potentially useful library of local content.

SVW's take: Smalltown has a great user interface and I love the concept of webcards, each with their own web address, each discoverable through the search engines, as well as the local Smalltown portal.

What I'd like to see with such approaches is a compelling front end, by which I mean a reason to go to the site even if I'm not actively searching for something local. What would draw me to it if I did not have a need to find something? I've got a couple of ideas...

Coming up next in SVW: Interview with Bob Chandra, founder and CEO of Grayboxx (still in stealth mode). This local search startup taps unseen databases to create ranked lists of top local businesses favored by their communities. . .

By Tom Foremski - October 10, 2006 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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January 16, 2007

GOOG continues to gain in search engine ranks as MSFT, Ask and Time Warner slip

By Tom Foremski

ComScore Networks' latest analysis of search engine activity was for December 2006, it showed Google gaining share, and at a faster pace than second placed Yahoo!

Google increased its lead by 0.4 share points to 47.4 percent of the total US market, compared with November 2006. Yahoo added 0.3 share points with 28.5 percent of the total. Microsoft sites were third with 10.5 percent, followed by Ask Network with 5.4 percent, and Time Warner with 4.9 percent.

Google and Yahoo gains were at the expense of Microsoft, which lost 0.5 share points, Ask, which fell by 0.1 share points, and Time Warner which lost 0.2 share points.

ComScore assembles its data from monitoring the Internet activities of more than 2m consumers.

Foremski's Take: Google's lead shows no signs of flagging. Yahoo is doing a decent job in gaining share but not enough to catch Google. Google continues to grow much faster.

Third, fourth and fifth places in search rankings are all declining. Is there a place for these and specialized search engines on the Internet? Or is it that only the top two Internet businesses in each category have the best chances to succeed?

 

From ComScore Networks:

* Americans conducted 6.7 billion searches online in December, up 1 percent versus November.  Annual growth rates in search query volume remained strong with a 30-percent increase since the same month a year ago.

* Google Sites led the pack with 3.2 billion search queries performed, followed by Yahoo Sites (1.9 billion), MSN-Microsoft (713 million), Ask Network (363 million), and Time Warner Network (335 million).

For more information, please visit www.comscore.com

By Tom Foremski - January 16, 2007 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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February 8, 2007

IDC study will reveal the dark matter of search queries

s_feldman_m.jpg Susan Feldman, a senior analyst at IDC, will release on Friday the results of a groundbreaking study that shoots down one of the largest myths in search engine marketing: that the majority of traffic to web sites comes from the top ten search engines.

By comparing publicly available traffic data from companies such as Nielsen Research, with research of its own, IDC found a big discrepancy in terms of the number of search queries tracked. Ms Feldman said, "Our model showed that there were seven to ten times more search queries being made and that the large search engines had only about 30 per cent of the search query traffic."

Ms Feldman said that the missing search queries, the dark matter of the search engine world, were coming from direct queries. People would go to a web site such as Amazon.com and type in a search query.

"This means that there is a massive business opportunity still to be had. The top search engines do not own the web, at least yet," said Ms Feldman.

The IDC results will be released at a Friday session at a conference organized by Fast Search & Transfer, a client of IDC and a vendor of search enterprise software. Earlier this week Fast introduced its AdMomentum product which allows online publishers to set up their own advertising networks instead of sharing revenues with Google, Yahoo or other ad networks.

. . .

Foremski's Take: The IDC findings are not a revelation for any online publisher. Peeking into the server logs reveals where traffic is coming from. For example, SVW gets less than 5 per cent of its traffic from search sites, and that is great because my traffic is not "surfer" it knows where I live and comes in direct. Yet, the bandwidth used by the search engine robots is one third of my total--to serve less than five per cent of my visitors.

The IDC numbers will help to dispel one of the big myths about the Internet, that the search engines drive substantial amounts of traffic therefore sites need to optimize for the search engines.

I've long said: optimize for your customers/readers not for the search engines. SEO, beyond basic principles, is not worth it, yet many companies spend a lot of money making their sites searchbot friendly rather than user friendly.

- - -
Additional Info:

Fast Forward conference blog

Fast Forward Conference Agenda

SVW:

The lie of distribution--search engines return very little value to news/blog sites yet hog bandwidth and increase server loads
GOOG: give us your content for free!
Google database bids to devalue online content, imho. [Read]
craigslist: Battling the bot armies
. . .a chat with ceo Jim Buckmaster. [Read]
The lie of distribution

Posted by Tom Foremski on October 26, 2005 5:51 AM

By Tom Foremski - February 8, 2007 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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February 10, 2007

The Vikings are in GOOG's rear mirror and coming up FAST

FAST Search and Transfer has suddenly popped into my sphere of attention and I mean really popped. I got to spend some time at FAST's user conference at the end of last week, and it was an educational experience that got me interested in search again.

This Norwegian based enterprise software search company has made the subject of search compelling again. For too long GOOG has made it appear as if it had already won the search wars--anything better would be an incremental improvement.

Yet enterprise search--which is where FAST has staked its expertise--is a much more interesting subject than I imagined, and much more interesting than consumer search. Enterprise search is much more difficult problem, and one of the most challenging problems in IT.

Consumer search can be vague and still be successful. It can bring up a list of nearly relevant sites or documents, and usually that is all that is needed. But in the enterprise, search is usually needed to find something very specific, a contract, a purchase order, a memo. 

And there are all sorts of conditions associated with access to data, some security based, others are regulatory. Search quickly becomes quite a complex process and one that can lead to other things.

Enterprises use a lot of structured data, but there is also a massive amount of unstructured data too. Search in the enterprise could potentially bring the two data world's together.

You might even be able to create enterprise applications by using modified search algorithms.

This type of scenario gets very interesting: enterprise applications by algorithm. This is already happening in business intelligence, I wonder how far, in theory, such an approach could be taken. Could you create CRM applications through search algorithms?

I'll be writing more about this subject, and FAST, over the next few days.

By Tom Foremski - February 10, 2007 | Permalink | Comment on this post | Search Watch
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March 3, 2007

Is Search Broken?

Search engines say they use complex algorithms to help users find exactly what they want Google's "I'm feeling lucky" button (btw, does anybody use it?), right below the search box implies that very thing.

The legions of top Ph.Ds working for the search engines publish oodles of scientific papers on complex mathematical concepts related to search.

 Recent Papers Written by Googlers

It all looks very impressive but it seems to have more to do with contributing to the mythology surrounding search--that is very complex and scientific--than to the actual reality of how search is done.

From my vantage point as an online publisher, it is clear that search is increasingly "people-powered" rather than machine-powered. There are millions of people helping the searchbots find information.

Here are some examples and gripes:

- There are many publishers that try to make sure their headlines catch the attention of the search engines rather than catch the attention of readers. The same is true for content, editors increasingly optimize it for the search engines rather than the readers.

- Why should I have to tag my content, and tag it according to the specific formats that Technorati, and other search engines recommend?  Aren't they supposed to do that?

- Google relies on a tremendous amount of user-helped search. Websites are encouraged to create site maps and leave the XML file on their server so that